Last update: June 15, 2021

Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Wildrose Independence Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Chestermere-Strathmore	UCP leaning	14%
2.	Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills	UCP likely	10%
3.	Airdrie East	UCP likely	8%
4.	Drayton Valley-Devon	UCP likely	6%
5.	Brooks-Medicine Hat	UCP likely	4%
6.	Airdrie-Cochrane	UCP leaning	4%
7.	Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre	UCP likely	2%
8.	Cardston-Siksika	UCP likely	2%
9.	Camrose	UCP likely	2%
10.	Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland	UCP likely	1%
11.	Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin	UCP leaning	1%
12.	Cypress-Medicine Hat	UCP leaning	1%
13.	Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche	UCP leaning	1%
14.	Innisfail-Sylvan Lake	UCP likely	1%
15.	Livingston-Macleod	UCP likely	1%
16.	Leduc-Beaumont	NDP leaning	<1%
17.	Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright	UCP likely	<1%
18.	Athabasca-Barrhead	UCP likely	<1%
19.	West Yellowhead	UCP likely	<1%
20.	Central Peace-Notley	UCP likely	<1%
21.	Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo	UCP likely	<1%

Rank	Electoral districts	Projection
1.	Chestermere-Strathmore	UCP leaning
2.	Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills	UCP likely
3.	Airdrie East	UCP likely
4.	Drayton Valley-Devon	UCP likely
5.	Brooks-Medicine Hat	UCP likely
6.	Airdrie-Cochrane	UCP leaning
7.	Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre	UCP likely
8.	Cardston-Siksika	UCP likely
9.	Camrose	UCP likely
10.	Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland	UCP likely
11.	Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin	UCP leaning
12.	Cypress-Medicine Hat	UCP leaning
13.	Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche	UCP leaning
14.	Innisfail-Sylvan Lake	UCP likely
15.	Livingston-Macleod	UCP likely
16.	Leduc-Beaumont	NDP leaning
17.	Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright	UCP likely
18.	Athabasca-Barrhead	UCP likely
19.	West Yellowhead	UCP likely
20.	Central Peace-Notley	UCP likely
21.	Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo	UCP likely