Quebec Conservative Party
Last update: April 26, 2024
Leader | Éric Duhaime |
National popular vote in 2022 | 12.9% |
Current vote projection | 10.9% ± 2.2% |
Current number of MNA's | 0 |
Current seat projection | 5 [0-9] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | April 26, 2024
Seat projection | April 26, 2024
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party
Last update: April 26, 2024
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Beauce-Nord | PCQ likely gain | 95% | |
2. | Beauce-Sud | PCQ likely gain | 92% | |
3. | Lotbinière-Frontenac | Toss up CAQ/QCP | 64% | |
4. | Bellechasse | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP | 55% | |
5. | Chauveau | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP | 50% | |
6. | Portneuf | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP | 32% | |
7. | La Peltrie | Toss up PQ/QCP | 30% | |
8. | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP | 13% | |
9. | Côte-du-Sud | Toss up PQ/CAQ | 8% | |
10. | Montmorency | Likely PQ gain | 2% | |
11. | Arthabaska | Leaning CAQ hold | 1% |