Quebec City Region, 14 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2022) | |
11 | 0 | |
2 | 0 | |
0 | 12 | |
1 | 2 | |
0 | 0 |
Projection | the Quebec City Region
Latest update: March 21, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Quebec City Region
Seat projection | Quebec City Region
List of electoral districts
Latest update: March 21, 2024
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
010 Bellechasse | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP | |
022 Charlesbourg | Safe PQ gain | |
023 Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré | Safe PQ gain | |
025 Chauveau | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP | |
028 Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP | |
047 Jean-Lesage | Toss up PQ/QS | |
048 Jean-Talon | Safe PQ gain | |
054 La Peltrie | Toss up PQ/QCP | |
065 Lévis | Leaning PQ gain | |
067 Louis-Hébert | Likely PQ gain | |
081 Montmorency | Likely PQ gain | |
089 Portneuf | Toss up PQ/CAQ/QCP | |
114 Taschereau | Toss up PQ/QS | |
119 Vanier-Les Rivières | Safe PQ gain |