338Canada.com - USA - Wisconsin


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Wisconsin - 10 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 51.2 44.0 Biden +7.2
Research Co. 2020-11-01 450 50 45 Biden +5
AtlasIntel 2020-10-31 781 51 49 Biden +2
Civiqs 2020-10-31 789 51 47 Biden +4
Change Research 2020-10-31 553 53 45 Biden +8
Emerson College 2020-10-30 751 53 45 Biden +8
Susquehanna Polling 2020-10-30 450 49 46 Biden +3
Ipsos 2020-10-30 696 53 45 Biden +8
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-28 1253 52 41 Biden +11
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-10-28 800 53 41 Biden +12
CNN/SSRS 2020-10-27 873 52 44 Biden +8
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 1002 54 41 Biden +13
Gravis Marketing 2020-10-23 677 54 43 Biden +11
Ipsos 2020-10-23 664 53 44 Biden +9
Marquette Law School 2020-10-23 749 48 43 Biden +5
ABC News/Washington Post 2020-10-23 809 57 40 Biden +17
Fox News 2020-10-19 1037 49 44 Biden +5
Susquehanna Polling 2020-10-18 500 45 45 Tie
RMG Research 2020-10-18 800 50 44 Biden +6
YouGov 2020-10-18 647 53 44 Biden +9
Ipsos 2020-10-16 663 51 45 Biden +6
Morning Consult 2020-10-16 1038 54 42 Biden +12
YouGov 2020-10-15 1112 51 46 Biden +5
Trafalgar Group 2020-10-15 1051 48 46 Biden +2
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-10 789 51 41 Biden +10
Ipsos 2020-10-09 577 52 45 Biden +7


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Wisconsin...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Wisconsin... 90% 10% <1%
If Biden loses Wisconsin... 32% 66% 2%
If Trump wins Wisconsin... 66% 32% 2%
If Trump loses Wisconsin... 10% 90% <1%





Popular vote projection - Wisconsin

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Wisconsin

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Wisconsin



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)