338Canada.com - USA - Virginia


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Virginia - 13 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 53.4 41.6 Biden +11.8
Roanoke College 2020-10-26 802 53 42 Biden +11
Christopher Newport University 2020-10-21 908 53 41 Biden +12
Virginia Commonwealth University 2020-10-18 709 51 37 Biden +14
Washington Post/ George Mason University 2020-10-16 908 52 41 Biden +11
Civiqs 2020-10-13 1231 55 42 Biden +13
Reconnect Research/Roanoke College 2020-10-06 602 53 38 Biden +15
Christopher Newport University 2020-09-16 796 48 43 Biden +5
Virginia Commonwealth University 2020-09-03 693 53 39 Biden +14
Roanoke College 2020-08-16 566 50 39 Biden +11
Morning Consult 2020-07-22 1156 52 41 Biden +11
Virginia Commonwealth University 2020-07-15 725 50 39 Biden +11
Roanoke College 2020-05-10 563 51 39 Biden +12
Virginia Commonwealth University 2020-04-02 663 51 41 Biden +10
Hampton University 2020-02-27 768 45 38 Biden +7
Roanoke College 2020-02-14 520 48 40 Biden +8


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Virginia...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Virginia... 84% 15% 1%
If Biden loses Virginia... 14% 86% <1%
If Trump wins Virginia... 86% 14% <1%
If Trump loses Virginia... 15% 84% 1%





Popular vote projection - Virginia

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Virginia

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Virginia



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)