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Virginia - 13 electoral votes
Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]
| Firm | Date (middle) | Sample | DEM | REP | Leader |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338Canada projection | 2020-11-03 | 53.4 | 41.6 | Biden +11.8 | |
| Roanoke College | 2020-10-26 | 802 | 53 | 42 | Biden +11 |
| Christopher Newport University | 2020-10-21 | 908 | 53 | 41 | Biden +12 |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | 2020-10-18 | 709 | 51 | 37 | Biden +14 |
| Washington Post/ George Mason University | 2020-10-16 | 908 | 52 | 41 | Biden +11 |
| Civiqs | 2020-10-13 | 1231 | 55 | 42 | Biden +13 |
| Reconnect Research/Roanoke College | 2020-10-06 | 602 | 53 | 38 | Biden +15 |
| Christopher Newport University | 2020-09-16 | 796 | 48 | 43 | Biden +5 |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | 2020-09-03 | 693 | 53 | 39 | Biden +14 |
| Roanoke College | 2020-08-16 | 566 | 50 | 39 | Biden +11 |
| Morning Consult | 2020-07-22 | 1156 | 52 | 41 | Biden +11 |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | 2020-07-15 | 725 | 50 | 39 | Biden +11 |
| Roanoke College | 2020-05-10 | 563 | 51 | 39 | Biden +12 |
| Virginia Commonwealth University | 2020-04-02 | 663 | 51 | 41 | Biden +10 |
| Hampton University | 2020-02-27 | 768 | 45 | 38 | Biden +7 |
| Roanoke College | 2020-02-14 | 520 | 48 | 40 | Biden +8 |
[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]
If Trump/Biden wins Virginia...
| Odds of winning election | Odds of losing election | Odds of 269-269 tie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| If Biden wins Virginia... | 84% | 15% | 1% |
| If Biden loses Virginia... | 14% | 86% | <1% |
| If Trump wins Virginia... | 86% | 14% | <1% |
| If Trump loses Virginia... | 15% | 84% | 1% |