338Canada.com - USA - Texas


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Texas - 38 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 46.9 49.0 Trump +2.1
Public Policy Polling 2020-10-29 775 50 48 Biden +2
Data for Progress 2020-10-29 926 49 48 Biden +1
RMG Research 2020-10-28 800 46 50 Trump +4
Gravis Marketing 2020-10-28 670 45 50 Trump +5
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 3267 48 48 Tie
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-23 802 43 47 Trump +4
University of Massachusetts Lowell 2020-10-23 873 47 48 Trump +1
University of Houston 2020-10-21 758 46 49 Trump +3
Quinnipiac 2020-10-18 1145 47 47 Tie
University of Texas at Tyler 2020-10-17 925 48 45 Biden +3
YouGov 2020-10-17 1000 45 50 Trump +5
Morning Consult 2020-10-16 3347 48 47 Biden +1
Morning Consult 2020-10-07 3455 47 49 Trump +2
Pulse Opinion Research 2020-10-06 1000 44 51 Trump +7
Civiqs 2020-10-05 895 48 48 Tie
YouGov 2020-10-01 908 45 50 Trump +5
University of Massachusetts Lowell 2020-09-22 882 46 49 Trump +3
Siena College/NYT 2020-09-19 653 43 46 Trump +3
Quinnipiac 2020-09-19 1078 45 50 Trump +5
Data for Progress 2020-09-19 726 45 46 Trump +1
YouGov 2020-09-17 1140 46 48 Trump +2
Morning Consult 2020-09-03 2829 46 46 Tie
University of Texas at Tyler 2020-08-31 901 46 48 Trump +2
Morning Consult 2020-08-26 2632 47 48 Trump +1
Data for Progress 2020-08-23 2295 48 45 Biden +3


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Texas...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Texas... >99% <1% <1%
If Biden loses Texas... 68% 31% 1%
If Trump wins Texas... 31% 68% 1%
If Trump loses Texas... <1% >99% <1%





Popular vote projection - Texas

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Texas

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Texas



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)