338Canada.com - USA - South Carolina


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South Carolina - 9 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 43.5 52.5 Trump +9.0
Data for Progress 2020-10-30 880 44 53 Trump +9
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 904 45 51 Trump +6
East Carolina University 2020-10-25 763 44 52 Trump +8
Morning Consult 2020-10-16 926 45 51 Trump +6
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-12 605 41 49 Trump +8
Morning Consult 2020-10-07 903 42 54 Trump +12
Quinnipiac 2020-09-25 1123 47 48 Trump +1
YouGov 2020-09-24 1080 42 52 Trump +10
Morning Consult 2020-09-16 764 44 50 Trump +6
Quinnipiac 2020-09-12 1164 45 51 Trump +6
Quinnipiac 2020-08-01 914 42 47 Trump +5
Morning Consult 2020-07-29 741 44 49 Trump +5
Civiqs 2020-05-25 591 42 52 Trump +10
AtlasIntel 2020-02-27 1100 42 48 Trump +6
East Carolina University 2020-02-01 1756 40 52 Trump +12


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins South Carolina...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins South Carolina... >99% <1% <1%
If Biden loses South Carolina... 78% 21% 1%
If Trump wins South Carolina... 21% 78% 1%
If Trump loses South Carolina... <1% >99% <1%





Popular vote projection - South Carolina

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - South Carolina

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - South Carolina



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)