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Rhode Island, 4 Electoral Votes


(Winner-take-all)
Latest update: November 6, 2024
Likely Harris
Rhode Island 55% ± 0%▼ 42% ± 0%▲ Harris 2020 59.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 6, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rhode Island 97%▼ 3%▲ <1% RFKOdds of winning | November 6, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Rhode Island

Trump 42% ± 0% Harris 55% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Rhode Island 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-07-01 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Biden drops out Trump Harris November 6, 2024 2024-06-11 Harris 55% Trump 41% 2024-06-11 2024-06-13 Harris 55% Trump 41% 2024-06-13 2024-06-15 Harris 55% Trump 41% 2024-06-15 2024-06-17 Harris 55% Trump 41% 2024-06-17 2024-06-19 Harris 56% Trump 40% 2024-06-19 2024-06-21 Harris 56% Trump 40% 2024-06-21 2024-06-23 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-06-23 2024-06-25 Harris 56% Trump 40% 2024-06-25 2024-06-27 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-06-27 2024-06-29 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-06-29 2024-07-01 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-01 2024-07-03 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-03 2024-07-05 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-05 2024-07-07 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-07 2024-07-09 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-09 2024-07-11 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-11 2024-07-13 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-13 2024-07-15 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-15 2024-07-17 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-17 2024-07-19 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-19 2024-07-23 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-23 2024-07-25 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-25 2024-07-27 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-27 2024-07-29 Harris 55% Trump 40% 2024-07-29 2024-07-31 Harris 55% Trump 39% 2024-07-31 2024-08-02 Harris 55% Trump 39% 2024-08-02 2024-08-04 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-04 2024-08-06 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-06 2024-08-08 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-08 2024-08-10 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-10 2024-08-12 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-12 2024-08-14 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-14 2024-08-16 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-16 2024-08-18 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-18 2024-08-20 Harris 56% Trump 39% 2024-08-20 2024-08-22 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-08-22 2024-08-24 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-08-24 2024-08-26 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-08-26 2024-08-28 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-08-28 2024-08-30 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-08-30 2024-09-01 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-09-01 2024-09-03 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-09-03 2024-09-05 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-09-05 2024-09-09 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-09-09 2024-09-11 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-09-11 2024-09-13 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-09-13 2024-09-15 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-09-15 2024-09-17 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-09-17 2024-09-19 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-09-19 2024-09-23 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-09-25 2024-09-27 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-09-27 2024-09-29 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-09-29 2024-10-03 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-10-03 2024-10-05 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-10-05 2024-10-08 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-10-08 2024-10-10 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-10-10 2024-10-14 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-10-14 2024-10-17 Harris 58% Trump 38% 2024-10-17 2024-10-22 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-10-22 2024-10-26 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-10-26 2024-10-29 Harris 58% Trump 39% 2024-10-29 2024-10-30 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-10-30 2024-11-01 Harris 57% Trump 40% 2024-11-01 2024-11-02 Harris 57% Trump 40% 2024-11-02 2024-11-03 Harris 57% Trump 39% 2024-11-03 2024-11-04 Harris 56% Trump 40% 2024-11-04 2024-11-05 Harris 56% Trump 40% 2024-11-05 2024-11-06 Harris 55% Trump 42% 2024-11-06

Odds of winning | Rhode Island

Trump 3% Harris 97% Odds of winning the Electoral College 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-07-01 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Biden drops out Trump Harris November 6, 2024 2024-06-11 Harris 90% Trump 10% 2024-06-11 2024-06-13 Harris 96% Trump 4% 2024-06-13 2024-06-15 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-06-15 2024-06-17 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-06-17 2024-06-19 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-06-19 2024-06-21 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-06-21 2024-06-23 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-06-23 2024-06-25 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-06-25 2024-06-27 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-06-27 2024-06-29 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-06-29 2024-07-01 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-01 2024-07-03 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-03 2024-07-05 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-05 2024-07-07 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-07 2024-07-09 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-09 2024-07-11 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-11 2024-07-13 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-13 2024-07-15 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-15 2024-07-17 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-17 2024-07-19 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-19 2024-07-23 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-07-23 2024-07-25 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-07-25 2024-07-27 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-07-27 2024-07-29 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-07-29 2024-07-31 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-07-31 2024-08-02 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-02 2024-08-04 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-04 2024-08-06 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-06 2024-08-08 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-08 2024-08-10 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-10 2024-08-12 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-12 2024-08-14 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-14 2024-08-16 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-16 2024-08-18 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-18 2024-08-20 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-20 2024-08-22 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-22 2024-08-24 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-08-24 2024-08-26 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-08-26 2024-08-28 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-08-28 2024-08-30 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-08-30 2024-09-01 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-03 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-05 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-05 2024-09-09 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-09 2024-09-11 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-11 2024-09-13 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-13 2024-09-15 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-17 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-17 2024-09-19 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-19 2024-09-23 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-27 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-29 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-03 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-05 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-08 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-10 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-14 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-17 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-22 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-22 2024-10-26 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-26 2024-10-29 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-29 2024-10-30 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-10-30 2024-11-01 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-11-01 2024-11-02 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-11-02 2024-11-03 Harris 99% Trump 1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-04 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-11-04 2024-11-05 Harris 98% Trump 2% 2024-11-05 2024-11-06 Harris 97% Trump 3% 2024-11-06

Recent electoral history | Rhode Island



2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 Proj. DEM 59.4% 62.9% 62.7% 54.4% 59.5% 55% ± 6% REP 38.7% 35.1% 35.2% 38.9% 38.7% 42% ± 6% RFK 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%