338canada.com - USA - Pennsylvania


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Pennsylvania - 20 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 50.4 45.6 Biden +4.8
Susquehanna Polling 2020-11-02 499 48 49 Trump +1
Research Co. 2020-11-01 450 50 44 Biden +6
Monmouth University 2020-10-31 502 51 44 Biden +7
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-10-31 800 50 47 Biden +3
Marist College 2020-10-31 772 51 46 Biden +5
Change Research 2020-10-31 699 50 46 Biden +4
Frederick Polls 2020-10-31 879 52 48 Biden +4
Ipsos 2020-10-30 673 52 46 Biden +6
Emerson College 2020-10-30 823 52 47 Biden +5
Data for Progress 2020-10-30 1417 52 45 Biden +7
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-29 1862 49 43 Biden +6
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-10-28 2125 50 45 Biden +5
ABC News/Washington Post 2020-10-27 810 51 44 Biden +7
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 2686 52 43 Biden +9
Muhlenberg College 2020-10-26 419 49 44 Biden +5
Insider Advantage 2020-10-25 400 46 48 Trump +2
Civiqs 2020-10-25 1148 52 45 Biden +7
Quinnipiac 2020-10-25 1324 53 46 Biden +7
Gravis Marketing 2020-10-23 602 51 44 Biden +7
Ipsos 2020-10-23 655 51 44 Biden +7
University of Houston 2020-10-21 723 50 45 Biden +5
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-10-19 800 50 47 Biden +3
Fox News 2020-10-19 1045 50 45 Biden +5
Civiqs 2020-10-19 1577 52 46 Biden +6
CNN/SSRS 2020-10-18 843 53 43 Biden +10


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Pennsylvania...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Pennsylvania... 95% 5% 1%
If Biden loses Pennsylvania... 40% 59% 1%
If Trump wins Pennsylvania... 59% 40% 1%
If Trump loses Pennsylvania... 5% 95% 1%





Popular vote projection - Pennsylvania

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Pennsylvania

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Pennsylvania



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