338Canada.com - USA - Ohio


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Ohio - 18 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 48.0 48.1 Trump +0.1
Research Co. 2020-11-01 450 47 47 Tie
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-11-01 800 45 49 Trump +4
Civiqs 2020-10-31 1136 48 49 Trump +1
Quinnipiac 2020-10-31 1440 47 43 Biden +4
Emerson College 2020-10-30 656 50 49 Biden +1
AtlasIntel 2020-10-30 660 47 50 Trump +3
Gravis Marketing 2020-10-28 613 47 49 Trump +2
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 2179 47 49 Trump +2
Quinnipiac 2020-10-25 1186 52 47 Biden +5
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-10-19 800 48 47 Biden +1
Fox News 2020-10-19 1018 45 48 Trump +3
Morning Consult 2020-10-16 2271 47 49 Trump +2
Quinnipiac 2020-10-10 1160 48 47 Biden +1
Morning Consult 2020-10-07 2283 46 49 Trump +3
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-04 661 45 44 Biden +1
Baldwin Wallace University 2020-10-04 1009 45 47 Trump +2
Trafalgar Group 2020-10-02 1035 44 48 Trump +4
YouGov 2020-10-01 1114 47 47 Tie
Fox News 2020-09-22 830 50 45 Biden +5
Quinnipiac 2020-09-19 1085 48 47 Biden +1
Baldwin Wallace University 2020-09-15 1011 45 44 Biden +1
Morning Consult 2020-09-03 1963 45 50 Trump +5
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-09-02 1000 51 47 Biden +4
ALG Research 2020-08-30 500 48 46 Biden +2
Morning Consult 2020-08-26 1811 45 50 Trump +5


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Ohio...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Ohio... 99% 1% <1%
If Biden loses Ohio... 63% 36% 1%
If Trump wins Ohio... 36% 63% 1%
If Trump loses Ohio... 1% 99% <1%





Popular vote projection - Ohio

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Ohio

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Ohio



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)