338Canada.com - USA - Nevada


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Nevada - 6 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 50.5 44.0 Biden +6.5
Emerson College 2020-10-30 720 49 47 Biden +2
Data for Progress 2020-10-30 1442 51 44 Biden +7
Gravis Marketing 2020-10-28 688 50 44 Biden +6
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-25 809 49 43 Biden +6
University of Nevada LV Lee B.School 2020-10-23 802 50 41 Biden +9
Civiqs 2020-10-19 712 52 43 Biden +9
WPA Intelligence 2020-10-09 512 49 47 Biden +2
YouGov 2020-10-08 1036 52 46 Biden +6
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-04 660 48 42 Biden +6
Fox News 2020-09-22 810 52 41 Biden +11
University of Nevada Las Vegas 2020-09-18 641 51 45 Biden +6
Siena College/NYT 2020-09-09 462 46 42 Biden +4
University of Nevada LV Lee B.School 2020-08-26 682 44 39 Biden +5
AtlasIntel 2020-02-20 1100 44 41 Biden +3


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Nevada...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Nevada... 90% 9% 1%
If Biden loses Nevada... 38% 61% 1%
If Trump wins Nevada... 61% 38% 1%
If Trump loses Nevada... 9% 90% 1%





Popular vote projection - Nevada

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Nevada

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Nevada



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)