338Canada.com - USA - New Mexico


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New Mexico - 5 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 53.3 40.5 Biden +12.8
Research & Polling Inc. 2020-10-26 1180 54 42 Biden +12
Research & Polling Inc. 2020-08-30 1123 54 39 Biden +15
Public Policy Polling 2020-06-13 740 53 39 Biden +14
Emerson College 2020-01-05 967 54 46 Biden +8


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins New Mexico...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins New Mexico... 83% 17% 1%
If Biden loses New Mexico... 15% 84% 1%
If Trump wins New Mexico... 84% 15% 1%
If Trump loses New Mexico... 17% 83% 1%





Popular vote projection - New Mexico

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - New Mexico

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - New Mexico



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)