338Canada.com - USA - New Jersey


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New Jersey - 14 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 59.0 37.7 Biden +21.3
Research Co. 2020-11-01 450 56 38 Biden +18
Rutgers University 2020-10-21 872 61 37 Biden +24
Stockton University 2020-10-10 721 56 36 Biden +20
DKC Analytics 2020-10-09 500 56 34 Biden +22
Fairleigh Dickinson University 2020-10-03 582 58 41 Biden +17
Emerson College 2020-09-06 500 58 40 Biden +18
DKC Analytics 2020-08-09 500 52 33 Biden +19
DKC Analytics 2020-07-10 500 51 33 Biden +18
Quinnipiac 2020-05-02 941 54 35 Biden +19
Monmouth University 2020-04-18 635 54 38 Biden +16
Fairleigh Dickinson University 2020-02-14 715 53 35 Biden +18


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins New Jersey...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins New Jersey... 81% 19% 1%
If Biden loses New Jersey... 2% 98% <1%
If Trump wins New Jersey... 98% 2% <1%
If Trump loses New Jersey... 19% 81% 1%





Popular vote projection - New Jersey

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - New Jersey

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - New Jersey



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)