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Nebraska, 5 Electoral Votes


(EV given according to districts)
Latest update: November 3, 2024
Likely Trump
Nebraska 58% ± 6% 38% ± 6% Trump 2020 58.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 3, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nebraska >99% <1% <1% RFKOdds of winning | November 3, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Nebraska

Trump 58% ± 6% Harris 38% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Nebraska 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-07-01 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Biden drops out Trump Harris November 3, 2024 2024-06-11 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-06-11 2024-06-13 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-06-13 2024-06-15 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-06-15 2024-06-17 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-06-17 2024-06-19 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-06-19 2024-06-21 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-06-21 2024-06-23 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-06-23 2024-06-25 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-06-25 2024-06-27 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-06-27 2024-06-29 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-06-29 2024-07-01 Trump 59% Harris 36% 2024-07-01 2024-07-03 Trump 59% Harris 36% 2024-07-03 2024-07-05 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-07-05 2024-07-07 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-07-07 2024-07-09 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-07-09 2024-07-11 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-07-11 2024-07-13 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-07-13 2024-07-15 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-07-15 2024-07-17 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-07-17 2024-07-19 Trump 59% Harris 35% 2024-07-19 2024-07-23 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-07-23 2024-07-25 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-07-25 2024-07-27 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-07-27 2024-07-29 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-07-29 2024-07-31 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-07-31 2024-08-02 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-08-02 2024-08-04 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-08-04 2024-08-06 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-08-06 2024-08-08 Trump 57% Harris 36% 2024-08-08 2024-08-10 Trump 58% Harris 36% 2024-08-10 2024-08-12 Trump 57% Harris 36% 2024-08-12 2024-08-14 Trump 57% Harris 36% 2024-08-14 2024-08-16 Trump 57% Harris 36% 2024-08-16 2024-08-18 Trump 57% Harris 36% 2024-08-18 2024-08-20 Trump 57% Harris 37% 2024-08-20 2024-08-22 Trump 58% Harris 37% 2024-08-22 2024-08-24 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-08-24 2024-08-26 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-08-26 2024-08-28 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-08-28 2024-08-30 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-08-30 2024-09-01 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-01 2024-09-03 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-03 2024-09-05 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-05 2024-09-09 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-09 2024-09-11 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-11 2024-09-13 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-13 2024-09-15 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-15 2024-09-17 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-17 2024-09-19 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-19 2024-09-23 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-25 2024-09-27 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-09-27 2024-09-29 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-09-29 2024-10-03 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-03 2024-10-05 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-05 2024-10-08 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-08 2024-10-10 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-10 2024-10-14 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-14 2024-10-17 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-17 2024-10-22 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-22 2024-10-26 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-26 2024-10-29 Trump 57% Harris 39% 2024-10-29 2024-10-30 Trump 58% Harris 39% 2024-10-30 2024-11-01 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-11-01 2024-11-02 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-11-02 2024-11-03 Trump 58% Harris 38% 2024-11-03

Odds of winning | Nebraska

Trump >99% Harris <1% Odds of winning the Electoral College 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-07-01 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Biden drops out Trump Harris November 3, 2024 2024-06-11 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-11 2024-06-13 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-13 2024-06-15 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-15 2024-06-17 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-17 2024-06-19 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-19 2024-06-21 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-21 2024-06-23 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-25 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-25 2024-06-27 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-27 2024-06-29 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-29 2024-07-01 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-01 2024-07-03 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-03 2024-07-05 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-05 2024-07-07 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-09 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-09 2024-07-11 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-11 2024-07-13 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-13 2024-07-15 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-15 2024-07-17 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-17 2024-07-19 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-19 2024-07-23 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-23 2024-07-25 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-25 2024-07-27 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-27 2024-07-29 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-29 2024-07-31 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-31 2024-08-02 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-02 2024-08-04 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-06 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-06 2024-08-08 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-08 2024-08-10 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-10 2024-08-12 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-12 2024-08-14 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-14 2024-08-16 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-16 2024-08-18 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-20 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-20 2024-08-22 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-22 2024-08-24 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-24 2024-08-26 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-26 2024-08-28 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-28 2024-08-30 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-30 2024-09-01 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-03 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-05 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-05 2024-09-09 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-09 2024-09-11 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-11 2024-09-13 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-13 2024-09-15 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-17 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-17 2024-09-19 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-19 2024-09-23 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-27 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-29 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-03 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-05 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-08 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-10 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-14 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-17 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-22 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-22 2024-10-26 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-26 2024-10-29 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-10-29 2024-10-30 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-10-30 2024-11-01 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-02 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-11-02 2024-11-03 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-11-03

Recent electoral history | Nebraska



2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 Proj. REP 65.9% 56.5% 59.8% 58.7% 58.2% 58% ± 6% DEM 32.7% 41.6% 38.0% 33.7% 39.2% 38% ± 6% RFK 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 2%