338Canada.com - USA - North Carolina


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North Carolina - 15 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 48.8 47.6 Biden +1.2
AtlasIntel 2020-10-31 812 48 50 Trump +2
InsiderAdvantage 2020-10-31 450 44 48 Trump +4
Change Research 2020-10-31 473 49 47 Biden +2
Frederick Polls 2020-10-31 676 51 49 Biden +2
Ipsos 2020-10-30 707 49 48 Biden +1
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-10-29 800 47 48 Trump +1
Data for Progress 2020-10-29 908 50 48 Biden +2
East Carolina University 2020-10-28 1103 50 48 Biden +2
Cardinal Point Analytics 2020-10-28 750 46 48 Trump +2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-10-28 1489 49 47 Biden +2
Gravis Marketing 2020-10-27 614 51 48 Biden +3
Marist College 2020-10-27 800 52 46 Biden +6
CNN/SSRS 2020-10-27 901 51 45 Biden +6
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 1982 49 48 Biden +1
RMG Research 2020-10-25 800 48 47 Biden +1
SurveyUSA 2020-10-25 627 48 48 Tie
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-25 1034 48 45 Biden +3
Ipsos 2020-10-24 647 49 48 Biden +1
Harper Polling 2020-10-24 504 50 49 Biden +1
University of Massachusetts Lowell 2020-10-23 911 48 48 Tie
YouGov 2020-10-22 1022 51 47 Biden +4
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-10-21 800 48 49 Trump +1
Trafalgar Group 2020-10-21 1098 46 49 Trump +3
Meredith College 2020-10-18 732 48 44 Biden +4
East Carolina University 2020-10-17 1155 51 47 Biden +4


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins North Carolina...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins North Carolina... 98% 2% <1%
If Biden loses North Carolina... 58% 40% 1%
If Trump wins North Carolina... 40% 58% 1%
If Trump loses North Carolina... 2% 98% <1%





Popular vote projection - North Carolina

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - North Carolina

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - North Carolina



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