338Canada.com - USA - Montana


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Montana - 3 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 44.2 51.3 Trump +7.1
Montana State University 2020-10-22 546 45 52 Trump +7
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-19 758 43 49 Trump +6
RMG Research 2020-10-17 800 46 50 Trump +4
Public Policy Polling 2020-10-10 798 46 52 Trump +6
Emerson College 2020-10-06 500 44 56 Trump +12
Montana State University 2020-09-24 1615 44 51 Trump +7
Remington 2020-09-17 1046 45 53 Trump +8
Siena College/NYT 2020-09-15 625 42 49 Trump +7
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates 2020-09-03 800 43 50 Trump +7
Emerson College 2020-08-01 584 46 54 Trump +8
Civiqs 2020-07-12 873 45 49 Trump +4
Public Policy Polling 2020-07-10 1224 42 51 Trump +9
University of Montana 2020-06-22 517 38 52 Trump +14
Montana State University 2020-04-19 459 40 45 Trump +5
University of Montana 2020-02-16 498 34 56 Trump +22


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Montana...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Montana... >99% <1% <1%
If Biden loses Montana... 77% 23% 1%
If Trump wins Montana... 23% 77% 1%
If Trump loses Montana... <1% >99% <1%





Popular vote projection - Montana

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Montana

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Montana



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)