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Montana - 3 electoral votes
Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]
| Firm | Date (middle) | Sample | DEM | REP | Leader |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338Canada projection | 2020-11-03 | 44.2 | 51.3 | Trump +7.1 | |
| Montana State University | 2020-10-22 | 546 | 45 | 52 | Trump +7 |
| Siena College/NYT | 2020-10-19 | 758 | 43 | 49 | Trump +6 |
| RMG Research | 2020-10-17 | 800 | 46 | 50 | Trump +4 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2020-10-10 | 798 | 46 | 52 | Trump +6 |
| Emerson College | 2020-10-06 | 500 | 44 | 56 | Trump +12 |
| Montana State University | 2020-09-24 | 1615 | 44 | 51 | Trump +7 |
| Remington | 2020-09-17 | 1046 | 45 | 53 | Trump +8 |
| Siena College/NYT | 2020-09-15 | 625 | 42 | 49 | Trump +7 |
| Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates | 2020-09-03 | 800 | 43 | 50 | Trump +7 |
| Emerson College | 2020-08-01 | 584 | 46 | 54 | Trump +8 |
| Civiqs | 2020-07-12 | 873 | 45 | 49 | Trump +4 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2020-07-10 | 1224 | 42 | 51 | Trump +9 |
| University of Montana | 2020-06-22 | 517 | 38 | 52 | Trump +14 |
| Montana State University | 2020-04-19 | 459 | 40 | 45 | Trump +5 |
| University of Montana | 2020-02-16 | 498 | 34 | 56 | Trump +22 |
[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]
If Trump/Biden wins Montana...
| Odds of winning election | Odds of losing election | Odds of 269-269 tie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| If Biden wins Montana... | >99% | <1% | <1% |
| If Biden loses Montana... | 77% | 23% | 1% |
| If Trump wins Montana... | 23% | 77% | 1% |
| If Trump loses Montana... | <1% | >99% | <1% |
