338Canada.com - USA - Minnesota


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Minnesota - 10 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 52.8 41.9 Biden +10.9
Research Co. 2020-11-01 450 52 43 Biden +9
Public Policy Polling 2020-10-30 770 54 43 Biden +11
Data for Progress 2020-10-30 1259 51 43 Biden +8
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 883 52 42 Biden +10
Gravis Marketing 2020-10-25 657 53 39 Biden +14
St. Cloud State University 2020-10-20 372 54 39 Biden +15
Civiqs 2020-10-19 840 53 43 Biden +10
SurveyUSA 2020-10-18 625 48 42 Biden +6
Morning Consult 2020-10-16 864 51 42 Biden +9
Change Research 2020-10-14 1021 49 44 Biden +5
Morning Consult 2020-10-07 898 50 44 Biden +6
Suffolk University 2020-09-22 500 47 40 Biden +7
Mason-Dixon Polling 2020-09-22 800 52 46 Biden +6
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-09-15 718 51 42 Biden +9
ABC News/Washington Post 2020-09-11 615 57 41 Biden +16
YouGov 2020-09-10 1087 50 41 Biden +9
Siena College/NYT 2020-09-09 814 50 41 Biden +9
Morning Consult 2020-09-09 643 48 44 Biden +4
SurveyUSA 2020-09-06 553 49 40 Biden +9
Public Policy Polling 2020-09-04 877 52 44 Biden +8
Morning Consult 2020-09-03 649 49 44 Biden +5
Morning Consult 2020-08-26 647 50 43 Biden +7
Trafalgar Group 2020-08-17 1141 47 47 Tie
Emerson College 2020-08-09 733 50 47 Biden +3
Trafalgar Group 2020-07-24 1129 49 44 Biden +5


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Minnesota...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Minnesota... 85% 15% 1%
If Biden loses Minnesota... 18% 81% 1%
If Trump wins Minnesota... 81% 18% 1%
If Trump loses Minnesota... 15% 85% 1%





Popular vote projection - Minnesota

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Minnesota

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Minnesota



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)