338Canada.com - USA - Michigan


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Michigan - 16 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 51.7 43.6 Biden +8.1
Research Co. 2020-11-01 450 50 43 Biden +7
InsiderAdvantage 2020-10-31 500 49 47 Biden +2
Change Research 2020-10-31 383 51 44 Biden +7
Emerson College 2020-10-30 700 52 46 Biden +6
Ipsos 2020-10-30 654 53 45 Biden +8
Mitchell Research & Co. 2020-10-29 817 52 45 Biden +7
RMG Research 2020-10-28 800 51 44 Biden +7
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-10-28 1212 54 41 Biden +13
CNN/SSRS 2020-10-27 907 53 41 Biden +12
EPIC-MRA 2020-10-27 600 48 41 Biden +7
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 1736 52 45 Biden +7
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-25 856 52 44 Biden +8
Trafalgar Group 2020-10-24 723 47 49 Trump +2
Gravis Marketing 2020-10-24 679 55 42 Biden +13
Ipsos 2020-10-24 652 52 43 Biden +9
Glengariff Group 2020-10-24 600 53 45 Biden +8
Kiaer Research 2020-10-24 669 54 41 Biden +13
ABC News/Washington Post 2020-10-23 789 51 44 Biden +7
Fox News 2020-10-19 1032 52 40 Biden +12
Mitchell Research & Co. 2020-10-18 900 51 41 Biden +10
YouGov 2020-10-18 681 52 42 Biden +10
Ipsos 2020-10-17 686 51 44 Biden +7
EPIC-MRA 2020-10-17 600 48 39 Biden +9
Morning Consult 2020-10-16 1717 52 44 Biden +8
Zia Poll 2020-10-15 2851 45 49 Trump +4


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Michigan...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Michigan... 89% 10% 1%
If Biden loses Michigan... 26% 74% 1%
If Trump wins Michigan... 74% 26% 1%
If Trump loses Michigan... 10% 89% 1%





Popular vote projection - Michigan

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Michigan

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Michigan



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)