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Kansas, 6 Electoral Votes


(Winner-take-all)
Latest update: October 5, 2024
Likely Trump
Kansas 55% ± 6% 41% ± 6% Trump 2020 56.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 5, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kansas 98% 2% <1% RFKOdds of winning | October 5, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kansas

Trump 55% ± 6% Harris 41% ± 6% RFK 3% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Kansas 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-07-01 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Biden drops out Trump Harris RFK October 5, 2024 2024-06-11 Trump 57% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-06-11 2024-06-13 Trump 57% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-06-13 2024-06-15 Trump 57% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-06-15 2024-06-17 Trump 57% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-06-17 2024-06-19 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-06-19 2024-06-21 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-06-21 2024-06-23 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-25 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-06-25 2024-06-27 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-06-27 2024-06-29 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-06-29 2024-07-01 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-07-01 2024-07-03 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-07-03 2024-07-05 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-07-05 2024-07-07 Trump 56% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-09 Trump 56% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-07-09 2024-07-11 Trump 56% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-07-11 2024-07-13 Trump 56% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-07-13 2024-07-15 Trump 56% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-07-15 2024-07-17 Trump 56% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-07-17 2024-07-19 Trump 56% Harris 37% RFK 5% 2024-07-19 2024-07-23 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-07-23 2024-07-25 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-07-25 2024-07-27 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-07-27 2024-07-29 Trump 56% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-07-29 2024-07-31 Trump 55% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-07-31 2024-08-02 Trump 55% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-08-02 2024-08-04 Trump 55% Harris 38% RFK 5% 2024-08-04 2024-08-06 Trump 55% Harris 39% RFK 5% 2024-08-06 2024-08-08 Trump 55% Harris 39% RFK 5% 2024-08-08 2024-08-10 Trump 55% Harris 39% RFK 5% 2024-08-10 2024-08-12 Trump 55% Harris 39% RFK 5% 2024-08-12 2024-08-14 Trump 55% Harris 39% RFK 5% 2024-08-14 2024-08-16 Trump 55% Harris 39% RFK 5% 2024-08-16 2024-08-18 Trump 55% Harris 39% RFK 5% 2024-08-18 2024-08-20 Trump 55% Harris 39% RFK 5% 2024-08-20 2024-08-22 Trump 56% Harris 39% RFK 4% 2024-08-22 2024-08-24 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-08-24 2024-08-26 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-08-26 2024-08-28 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-08-28 2024-08-30 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-08-30 2024-09-01 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-01 2024-09-03 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-03 2024-09-05 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-05 2024-09-09 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-09 2024-09-11 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-11 2024-09-13 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-13 2024-09-15 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-15 2024-09-17 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-17 2024-09-19 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-19 2024-09-23 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 Trump 56% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-25 2024-09-27 Trump 55% Harris 40% RFK 3% 2024-09-27 2024-09-29 Trump 55% Harris 41% RFK 3% 2024-09-29 2024-10-03 Trump 55% Harris 41% RFK 3% 2024-10-03 2024-10-05 Trump 55% Harris 41% RFK 3% 2024-10-05

Odds of winning | Kansas

Trump 98% Harris 2% Odds of winning the Electoral College 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-07-01 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Biden drops out Trump Harris October 5, 2024 2024-06-11 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-11 2024-06-13 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-13 2024-06-15 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-15 2024-06-17 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-17 2024-06-19 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-19 2024-06-21 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-21 2024-06-23 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-25 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-25 2024-06-27 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-27 2024-06-29 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-06-29 2024-07-01 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-01 2024-07-03 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-03 2024-07-05 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-05 2024-07-07 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-09 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-09 2024-07-11 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-11 2024-07-13 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-13 2024-07-15 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-15 2024-07-17 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-17 2024-07-19 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-19 2024-07-23 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-23 2024-07-25 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-25 2024-07-27 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-27 2024-07-29 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-29 2024-07-31 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-07-31 2024-08-02 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-02 2024-08-04 Trump >99% Harris <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-06 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-06 2024-08-08 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-08 2024-08-10 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-10 2024-08-12 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-12 2024-08-14 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-14 2024-08-16 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-16 2024-08-18 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-20 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-20 2024-08-22 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-22 2024-08-24 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-24 2024-08-26 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-26 2024-08-28 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-28 2024-08-30 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-08-30 2024-09-01 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-03 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-05 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-05 2024-09-09 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-09 2024-09-11 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-11 2024-09-13 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-13 2024-09-15 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-17 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-17 2024-09-19 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-19 2024-09-23 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-27 Trump 99% Harris 1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-29 Trump 98% Harris 2% 2024-09-29 2024-10-03 Trump 98% Harris 2% 2024-10-03 2024-10-05 Trump 98% Harris 2% 2024-10-05

Recent electoral history | Kansas



2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 Proj. REP 62.0% 56.6% 59.7% 56.7% 56.2% 55% ± 6% DEM 36.6% 41.7% 38.0% 36.1% 41.6% 41% ± 6% RFK 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 2%