338Canada.com - USA - Iowa


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Iowa - 6 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 47.1 48.6 Trump +1.5
Public Policy Polling 2020-11-02 871 49 48 Biden +1
Civiqs 2020-10-31 853 49 48 Biden +1
Emerson College 2020-10-30 604 47 49 Trump +2
Data for Progress 2020-10-30 951 47 49 Trump +2
Selzer & Co. 2020-10-28 814 44 52 Trump +8
Quinnipiac 2020-10-25 1225 49 50 Trump +1
RABA Research 2020-10-23 693 50 46 Biden +4
Emerson College 2020-10-20 435 46 48 Trump +2
Insider Advantage 2020-10-19 400 49 49 Tie
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-19 753 46 43 Biden +3
Monmouth University 2020-10-17 501 50 47 Biden +3
YouGov 2020-10-08 1035 49 49 Tie
Civiqs 2020-10-05 756 48 47 Biden +1
Quinnipiac 2020-10-03 1205 50 45 Biden +5
RABA Research 2020-09-25 780 48 46 Biden +2
Monmouth University 2020-09-20 402 46 49 Trump +3
Siena College/NYT 2020-09-19 501 45 42 Biden +3
Selzer & Co. 2020-09-16 658 47 47 Tie
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates 2020-09-03 800 45 47 Trump +2
Monmouth University 2020-08-01 401 45 48 Trump +3
RMG Research 2020-07-29 500 40 41 Trump +1
Data for Progress 2020-07-29 1101 42 44 Trump +2
Selzer & Co. 2020-06-09 674 43 44 Trump +1
Civiqs 2020-06-07 865 46 46 Tie
Public Policy Polling 2020-05-01 1222 46 48 Trump +2


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Iowa...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Iowa... 99% 1% <1%
If Biden loses Iowa... 67% 32% 1%
If Trump wins Iowa... 32% 67% 1%
If Trump loses Iowa... 1% 99% <1%





Popular vote projection - Iowa

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Iowa

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Iowa



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)