338Canada.com - USA - Hawaii


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Hawaii - 4 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 66.3 27.9 Biden +38.4
MRG Research 2020-10-05 988 61 28 Biden +33
MRG Research 2020-07-29 975 56 29 Biden +27


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Hawaii...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Hawaii... 80% 19% 1%
If Biden loses Hawaii... ---% <1% ---%
If Trump wins Hawaii... ---% ---% ---%
If Trump loses Hawaii... 19% 80% 1%





Popular vote projection - Hawaii

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Hawaii

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Hawaii



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)