338Canada.com - USA - Florida


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Florida - 29 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 49.6 47.2 Biden +2.4
InsiderAdvantage 2020-11-02 400 47 48 Trump +1
Susquehanna Polling 2020-10-31 400 46 47 Trump +1
Change Research 2020-10-31 806 51 48 Biden +3
Quinnipiac 2020-10-31 1657 47 42 Biden +5
Frederick Polls 2020-10-31 768 51 49 Biden +2
St.Pete Polls 2020-10-30 2758 49 48 Biden +1
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-10-30 800 48 47 Biden +1
Ipsos 2020-10-30 670 50 46 Biden +4
Data for Progress 2020-10-30 1202 51 48 Biden +3
AtlasIntel 2020-10-29 786 49 49 Tie
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-29 1451 47 44 Biden +3
RMG Research 2020-10-29 1200 51 47 Biden +4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-10-28 1587 50 46 Biden +4
ABC News/Washington Post 2020-10-27 824 48 50 Trump +2
Morning Consult 2020-10-27 4451 52 45 Biden +7
Monmouth University 2020-10-26 509 51 45 Biden +6
Marist College 2020-10-26 743 51 47 Biden +4
Florida Atlantic University 2020-10-25 937 50 48 Biden +2
Quinnipiac 2020-10-25 1324 51 47 Biden +4
Trafalgar Group 2020-10-24 773 47 49 Trump +2
Susquehanna Polling 2020-10-24 400 44 49 Trump +5
St.Pete Polls 2020-10-22 2527 49 47 Biden +2
YouGov 2020-10-22 1228 50 48 Biden +2
YouGov 2020-10-22 1200 48 46 Biden +2
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-10-21 800 46 50 Trump +4


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Florida...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Florida... 99% 1% <1%
If Biden loses Florida... 50% 48% 2%
If Trump wins Florida... 48% 50% 2%
If Trump loses Florida... 1% 99% <1%





Popular vote projection - Florida

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Florida

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Florida



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)