338Canada.com - USA - California


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California - 55 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 64.1 30.2 Biden +33.9
David Binder Research 2020-10-30 800 62 31 Biden +31
University of California, Berkeley 2020-10-19 5352 65 29 Biden +36
Public Policy Institute of California 2020-10-14 1185 58 32 Biden +26
SurveyUSA 2020-09-27 558 59 32 Biden +27
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-09-20 1775 62 28 Biden +34
University of California, Berkeley 2020-09-13 5942 67 28 Biden +39
Public Policy Institute of California 2020-09-09 1168 60 31 Biden +29
SPRY Strategies 2020-08-31 600 56 39 Biden +17
David Binder Research 2020-08-23 800 61 31 Biden +30
SurveyUSA 2020-08-12 500 56 28 Biden +28
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-08-09 1904 61 25 Biden +36
University of California, Berkeley 2020-07-24 8756 67 28 Biden +39
Public Policy Institute of California 2020-05-22 1048 57 33 Biden +24
SurveyUSA 2020-05-19 537 58 30 Biden +28
Emerson College 2020-05-09 800 59 29 Biden +30
Public Policy Polling 2020-03-29 962 67 29 Biden +38


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins California...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins California... 80% 19% 1%
If Biden loses California... ---% <1% ---%
If Trump wins California... ---% ---% ---%
If Trump loses California... 19% 80% 1%





Popular vote projection - California

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - California

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - California



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)