338Canada.com - USA - Arizona


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Arizona - 11 electoral votes


Latest projection - October 27, 2020

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-10-27 48.5 46.5 Biden +2.0
Trafalgar Group 2020-10-24 472 47 50 Trump +3
OH Predictive Insights 2020-10-24 716 49 46 Biden +3
Susquehanna Polling 2020-10-21 500 46 47 Trump +1
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse OR 2020-10-19 800 48 46 Biden +2
Ipsos 2020-10-18 658 50 46 Biden +4
Data Orbital 2020-10-17 550 51 45 Biden +6
Morning Consult 2020-10-16 1066 47 48 Trump +1
YouGov 2020-10-15 1074 50 47 Biden +3
Ipsos 2020-10-11 667 50 46 Biden +4
Monmouth University 2020-10-11 502 50 44 Biden +6
Trafalgar Group 2020-10-07 1087 44 48 Trump +4
Morning Consult 2020-10-07 1144 49 46 Biden +3
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-10-06 727 49 43 Biden +6
OH Predictive Insights 2020-10-06 608 49 45 Biden +4
Data Orbital 2020-10-04 550 50 45 Biden +5
Change Research 2020-10-03 296 51 45 Biden +6
Siena College/NYT 2020-10-02 655 49 41 Biden +8
HighGround Inc. 2020-10-02 400 49 48 Biden +1
Suffolk University 2020-09-28 500 50 46 Biden +4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-09-25 871 47 44 Biden +3
Change Research 2020-09-19 262 49 43 Biden +6
Data for Progress 2020-09-19 481 45 46 Trump +1
ABC News/Washington Post 2020-09-18 579 48 49 Trump +1
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-09-14 855 47 42 Biden +5
Ipsos 2020-09-14 568 47 46 Biden +1
Monmouth University 2020-09-13 420 48 46 Biden +2
Siena College/NYT 2020-09-13 653 49 40 Biden +9
Gravis Marketing 2020-09-11 884 50 48 Biden +2
YouGov 2020-09-10 1106 47 44 Biden +3
OH Predictive Insights 2020-09-09 600 52 42 Biden +10
Kaiser Family Foundation 2020-09-07 1298 49 45 Biden +4
Change Research 2020-09-05 470 49 45 Biden +4
Benenson SG/GS Strategy Group 2020-09-04 1600 48 47 Biden +1
Morning Consult 2020-09-03 901 49 46 Biden +3
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-09-02 830 48 43 Biden +5
Fox News 2020-08-31 772 49 40 Biden +9
Morning Consult 2020-08-26 943 52 42 Biden +10
Change Research 2020-08-22 344 49 47 Biden +2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-08-17 856 47 38 Biden +9
Morning Consult 2020-08-13 943 52 42 Biden +10
Change Research 2020-08-08 428 45 44 Biden +1
Trafalgar Group 2020-08-07 1013 45 46 Trump +1
OH Predictive Insights 2020-08-03 603 49 45 Biden +4
Change Research 2020-07-25 365 47 45 Biden +2
CNN/SSRS 2020-07-22 873 49 45 Biden +4
Morning Consult 2020-07-22 908 49 42 Biden +7
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 2020-07-21 858 46 38 Biden +8
Marist College 2020-07-19 826 50 45 Biden +5
Change Research 2020-07-11 345 51 45 Biden +6
YouGov 2020-07-09 1087 46 46 Tie


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]




Popular vote projection - Arizona

Latest update: October 27, 2020







Odds of winning - Arizona

Latest update: October 27, 2020




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Arizona



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