338Canada.com - USA - Arkansas


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Arkansas - 6 electoral votes


Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]

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Firm Date (middle) Sample DEM REP Leader
338Canada projection2020-11-03 37.6 57.5 Trump +19.9
University of Arkansas 2020-10-16 591 32 65 Trump +33
Hendrix College 2020-06-10 869 45 47 Trump +2


[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]

If Trump/Biden wins Arkansas...


Odds of winning election Odds of losing election Odds of 269-269 tie
If Biden wins Arkansas... >99% <1% <1%
If Biden loses Arkansas... 80% 19% 1%
If Trump wins Arkansas... 19% 80% 1%
If Trump loses Arkansas... <1% >99% <1%





Popular vote projection - Arkansas

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]







Odds of winning - Arkansas

Latest update: November 3, 2020 [FINAL]




Electoral history 2004-2016 - Arkansas



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)