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Arkansas - 6 electoral votes
Latest projection - November 3, 2020 [FINAL]
| Firm | Date (middle) | Sample | DEM | REP | Leader |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 338Canada projection | 2020-11-03 | 37.6 | 57.5 | Trump +19.9 | |
| University of Arkansas | 2020-10-16 | 591 | 32 | 65 | Trump +33 |
| Hendrix College | 2020-06-10 | 869 | 45 | 47 | Trump +2 |
[For the complete list of polls, follow this link.]
If Trump/Biden wins Arkansas...
| Odds of winning election | Odds of losing election | Odds of 269-269 tie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| If Biden wins Arkansas... | >99% | <1% | <1% |
| If Biden loses Arkansas... | 80% | 19% | 1% |
| If Trump wins Arkansas... | 19% | 80% | 1% |
| If Trump loses Arkansas... | <1% | >99% | <1% |
