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Saskatchewan


Yorkton


MLA: Greg Ottenbreit (SKP)


Latest projection: October 21, 2023

SKP safe
Yorkton 62% ± 8%▲ 27% ± 7%▲ 6% ± 5%▼ SKP 2020 74.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 21, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Yorkton >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | October 21, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Yorkton

SKP 62% ± 8% NDP 27% ± 7% SUP 6% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Yorkton 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 SKP NDP SUP

Odds of winning | Yorkton

SPP <1% SKP >99% NDP <1% GRN <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 SPP SKP NDP GRN

Recent electoral history | Yorkton



2016 2020 Proj. SKP 72.6% 74.3% 62% ± 8% NDP 22.7% 22.8% 27% ± 7% GRN 1.9% 2.8% 2% ± 2% SPP 2.9% 0.0% 1% ± 1% SUP 0.0% 0.0% 6% ± 5% PC 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% BUF 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%