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Saskatchewan

🍁338Canada Saskatchewan projections

338Canada provides statistical projections of federal and provincial elections in Canada, combining opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data to estimate both popular vote and seat outcomes.

This page shows the current state of Saskatchewan's political landscape, including recent polling, projected vote shares, and likely seat distributions if an election were held today.

Projections are updated regularly as new polling becomes available.

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Latest Saskatchewan Polls

GRN
2026-10-24
51
40
1
2026-10-09
48
46
2025-11-28
55
39
2
2025-09-01
54
41
1

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338Canada Projection | Saskatchewan

Latest update: October 27, 2026

Popular vote projection 45% 57% 51% ± 6% ▼ SKP 36% 47% 42% ± 6% ▲ NDP 2% 5% 4% ± 2% SUP 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 27, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Seat projection | 31 seats for a majority 32 ▼ [29-38] SKP 29 ▲ [23-32] NDP 338Canada seat projection | October 27, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

50% 100% 338Canada Odds of winning the most seats 89%▼ SKP 11%▲ NDP <1% Tie <1% GRN Odds of winning | October 27, 2026
Methodology note. The odds of winning and of various outcomes are those that would apply if a general election were held today. They are calculated using the 338Canada Monte Carlo–type model, which runs thousands of simulated elections based on projected vote shares by riding, past results, and demographic data.
50% 100% Odds of outcome 89% SKP maj. 11% NDP maj. <1% SKP min. <1% NDP min. Odds of outcome | October 27, 2026

338Canada Vote Projection | Saskatchewan

338Canada Seat Projection | Saskatchewan

Odds of Winning the Most Seats | Saskatchewan

Probabilities of Outcome | Saskatchewan