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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Warman


2020 2024 Projection SKP 67% ± 9% 76.7% 65.6% NDP 24% ± 7% 14.8% 25.3% BUF 1% ± 2% 6.8% 1.4% SUP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 7.2%

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338Canada Warman projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Warman 59% 76% 67% ± 9% SKP 17% 31% 24% ± 7% NDP SKP 2024 65.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Warman >99% SKP <1% NDP <1% BUF Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Warman

SKP 67% ± 9% NDP 24% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Warman 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 62% NDP 23% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 62% NDP 24% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 64% NDP 23% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 64% NDP 23% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 66% NDP 23% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 66% NDP 23% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 64% NDP 25% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP 62% NDP 27% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 SKP 61% NDP 28% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP 66% NDP 25% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP 66% NDP 25% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 SKP 66% NDP 25% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 SKP 66% NDP 25% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 SKP 67% NDP 24% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Warman

SKP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-12-20