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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood


2020 2024 Projection NDP 56% ± 10% 47.7% 57.7% SKP 43% ± 10% 48.4% 40.7%

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338Canada Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood 46% 66% 56% ± 10% NDP 33% 52% 43% ± 10% SKP NDP 2024 57.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood 94%▼ NDP 6%▲ SKP <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood

SKP 43% ± 10% NDP 56% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 NDP 60% SKP 35% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 59% SKP 36% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 NDP 57% SKP 38% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 NDP 57% SKP 38% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 NDP 58% SKP 41% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 NDP 58% SKP 41% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP 61% SKP 38% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 65% SKP 33% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 65% SKP 34% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 57% SKP 41% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 58% SKP 41% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 57% SKP 41% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 57% SKP 41% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 56% SKP 43% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood

SKP 6% NDP 94% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 NDP 99% SKP 1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 NDP 99% SKP 1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 97% SKP 3% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 94% SKP 6% 2025-12-20