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Recent electoral history | Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis


2020 2024 Projection NDP 50% ± 10% 35.0% 51.5% SKP 47% ± 10% 63.1% 45.4% GRN 3% ± 3% 2.0% 3.1%

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338Canada Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis 40% 59% 50% ± 10% NDP 38% 57% 47% ± 10% SKP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% GRN NDP 2024 51.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis 60%▼ NDP 40%▲ SKP <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis

SKP 47% ± 10% NDP 50% ± 10% GRN 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP GRN December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 51% NDP 45% GRN 2% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 51% NDP 45% GRN 1% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 54% NDP 42% GRN 1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 54% NDP 42% GRN 1% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 57% NDP 42% GRN 1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 56% NDP 42% GRN 1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 53% NDP 45% GRN 1% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 50% SKP 48% GRN 2% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 50% SKP 48% GRN 2% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 51% SKP 46% GRN 3% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 51% SKP 45% GRN 3% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 51% SKP 46% GRN 3% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 51% SKP 46% GRN 3% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 50% SKP 47% GRN 3% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Saskatoon Chief Mistawasis

SKP 40% NDP 60% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 76% NDP 24% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 82% NDP 18% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 94% NDP 6% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 94% NDP 6% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 97% NDP 3% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 97% NDP 3% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 84% NDP 16% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 59% SKP 41% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 57% SKP 43% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 87% SKP 13% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 94% SKP 6% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 90% SKP 10% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 72% SKP 28% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 60% SKP 40% 2025-12-20