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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Regina Wascana Plains


2020 2024 Projection NDP 47% ± 9% 34.7% 48.6% SKP 44% ± 9% 61.8% 42.4% PC 4% ± 4% 0.0% 3.7% GRN 1% ± 1% 2.2% 1.0% SUP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 4.3%

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338Canada Regina Wascana Plains projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Regina Wascana Plains 37% 56% 47% ± 9% NDP 35% 54% 44% ± 9% SKP 0% 7% 4% ± 4% PC NDP 2024 48.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Regina Wascana Plains 62%▼ NDP 38%▲ SKP <1% PC Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Regina Wascana Plains

SKP 44% ± 9% NDP 47% ± 9% PC 4% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Regina Wascana Plains 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP PC December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 57% NDP 39% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 53% NDP 43% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 55% NDP 41% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 55% NDP 41% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 57% NDP 40% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 54% NDP 43% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 51% NDP 46% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP 50% NDP 47% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 SKP 49% NDP 48% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 47% SKP 43% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 49% SKP 42% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 48% SKP 43% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 48% SKP 43% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 47% SKP 44% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Regina Wascana Plains

SKP 38% NDP 62% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 99% NDP 1% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 90% NDP 10% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 97% NDP 3% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 97% NDP 3% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 99% NDP 1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 92% NDP 8% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 74% NDP 26% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP 62% NDP 38% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 SKP 53% NDP 47% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 85% SKP 15% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 95% SKP 5% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 91% SKP 9% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 74% SKP 26% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 62% SKP 38% 2025-12-20