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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Regina University


2020 2024 Projection NDP 50% ± 10% 40.0% 52.2% SKP 46% ± 10% 55.6% 43.8% PC 3% ± 3% 0.0% 3.0% GRN 1% ± 1% 2.1% 1.0%

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338Canada Regina University projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Regina University 40% 60% 50% ± 10% NDP 36% 56% 46% ± 10% SKP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% PC NDP 2024 52.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Regina University 70%▼ NDP 30%▲ SKP <1% PC Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Regina University

SKP 46% ± 10% NDP 50% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | Regina University 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 50% NDP 45% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 49% SKP 46% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 49% NDP 46% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 49% NDP 46% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 51% NDP 46% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 NDP 49% SKP 48% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP 52% SKP 45% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 53% SKP 43% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 53% SKP 44% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 51% SKP 45% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 52% SKP 44% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 52% SKP 44% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 52% SKP 44% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 50% SKP 46% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Regina University

SKP 30% NDP 70% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 75% NDP 25% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 63% SKP 37% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 62% NDP 38% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 62% NDP 38% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 75% NDP 25% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 NDP 59% SKP 41% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP 83% SKP 17% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 88% SKP 12% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 87% SKP 13% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 93% SKP 7% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 97% SKP 3% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 96% SKP 4% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 81% SKP 19% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 70% SKP 30% 2025-12-20