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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Regina Pasqua


2020 2024 Projection NDP 51% ± 10% 44.6% 52.3% SKP 40% ± 10% 49.3% 38.6% PC 6% ± 6% 0.0% 6.1% GRN 2% ± 2% 2.7% 1.8%

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338Canada Regina Pasqua projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Regina Pasqua 41% 61% 51% ± 10% NDP 31% 50% 40% ± 10% SKP 0% 11% 6% ± 6% PC NDP 2024 52.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Regina Pasqua 89%▼ NDP 11%▲ SKP <1% PC Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Regina Pasqua

SKP 40% ± 10% NDP 51% ± 10% PC 6% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Regina Pasqua 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP PC December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 NDP 49% SKP 44% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 53% SKP 40% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 NDP 51% SKP 43% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 NDP 51% SKP 43% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 NDP 50% SKP 45% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 NDP 53% SKP 41% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP 56% SKP 39% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 57% SKP 37% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 57% SKP 37% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 51% SKP 39% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 52% SKP 39% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 52% SKP 39% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 52% SKP 39% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 51% SKP 40% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Regina Pasqua

SKP 11% NDP 89% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 NDP 74% SKP 26% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 95% SKP 5% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 NDP 84% SKP 16% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 NDP 84% SKP 16% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 NDP 74% SKP 26% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 NDP 93% SKP 7% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP 99% SKP 1% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 99% SKP 1% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 99% SKP 1% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 95% SKP 5% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 89% SKP 11% 2025-12-20