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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Regina Elphinstone-Centre


2020 2024 Projection NDP 60% ± 10% 61.4% 61.1% SKP 28% ± 9% 30.0% 26.5% SPP 4% ± 4% 0.0% 3.7% GRN 3% ± 3% 4.9% 2.9% SUP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 5.8%

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338Canada Regina Elphinstone-Centre projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Regina Elphinstone-Centre 50% 70% 60% ± 10% NDP 19% 37% 28% ± 9% SKP 0% 8% 4% ± 4% SPP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% GRN NDP 2024 61.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Regina Elphinstone-Centre >99% NDP <1% SKP <1% SPP Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Regina Elphinstone-Centre

SPP 4% ± 4% SKP 28% ± 9% NDP 60% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | Regina Elphinstone-Centre 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SPP SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 NDP 66% SKP 26% SPP 0% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 69% SKP 23% SPP 0% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 NDP 67% SKP 25% SPP 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 NDP 67% SKP 25% SPP 0% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 NDP 68% SKP 27% SPP 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 NDP 71% SKP 24% SPP 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP 73% SKP 22% SPP 0% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 74% SKP 21% SPP 0% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 74% SKP 21% SPP 0% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP 60% SKP 27% SPP 4% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP 61% SKP 26% SPP 4% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP 61% SKP 27% SPP 4% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP 61% SKP 27% SPP 4% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP 60% SKP 28% SPP 4% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Regina Elphinstone-Centre

SKP <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 NDP >99% SKP <1% 2025-12-20