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Saskatchewan


Prince Albert Northcote


MLA: (New boundaries) (SKP)


Latest projection: September 24, 2024

NDP likely
Prince Albert Northcote 51% ± 9%▼ NDP 40% ± 9%▲ SKP 3% ± 3% PC SKP 2020 49.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Prince Albert Northcote 91%▼ NDP 9%▲ SKP <1% PC Odds of winning | September 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Prince Albert Northcote

SKP 40% ± 9% NDP 51% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Prince Albert Northcote 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP September 24, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 47% SKP 43% 2023-12-31 2024-02-09 NDP 58% SKP 34% 2024-02-09 2024-03-16 NDP 52% SKP 38% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 52% SKP 38% 2024-08-22 2024-09-24 NDP 51% SKP 40% 2024-09-24

Odds of winning | Prince Albert Northcote

SPP <1% SKP 9% NDP 91% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2024 SPP SKP NDP September 24, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 68% SKP 32% SPP <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-09 NDP >99% SKP <1% SPP <1% 2024-02-09 2024-03-16 NDP 97% SKP 3% SPP <1% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 97% SKP 3% SPP <1% 2024-08-22 2024-09-24 NDP 91% SKP 9% SPP <1% 2024-09-24

Recent electoral history | Prince Albert Northcote



2020 Proj. SKP 49.3% 40% ± 9% NDP 45.0% 51% ± 9% GRN 1.8% 1% ± 2% PC 0.0% 3% ± 3% BUF 0.0% 1% ± 1% SPP 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.