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Saskatchewan

Prince Albert Carlton


MLA: Kevin Kasun (SKP)
Latest projection: November 12, 2024
SKP likely
Prince Albert Carlton 51% ± 0%▼ SKP 44% ± 0%▲ NDP SKP 2024 51.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Prince Albert Carlton 93%▼ SKP 7%▲ NDP <1% GRN Odds of winning | November 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Prince Albert Carlton

SKP 51% ± 0% NDP 44% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Prince Albert Carlton 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins SKP NDP November 12, 2024 2024-09-24 SKP 49% NDP 44% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 50% NDP 45% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 51% NDP 44% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 48% NDP 47% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 50% SKP 45% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 51% SKP 44% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP 52% NDP 43% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP 51% NDP 44% 2024-11-12

Odds of winning | Prince Albert Carlton

SKP 93% NDP 7% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins SKP NDP November 12, 2024 2024-09-24 SKP 75% NDP 25% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 75% NDP 25% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 80% NDP 20% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 55% NDP 45% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 70% SKP 30% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 78% SKP 22% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP 96% NDP 4% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP 93% NDP 7% 2024-11-12

Recent electoral history | Prince Albert Carlton



2020 2024 Proj. SKP 51% ± 0% 57.9% 51.1% NDP 44% ± 0% 38.0% 43.9% GRN 1% ± 0% 1.6% 1.1% SUP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 3.9%
Data from 2020 are results transposed onto new electoral map.