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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Moose Jaw Wakamow


2020 2024 Projection SKP 57% ± 10% 54.1% 55.0% NDP 40% ± 10% 40.0% 41.7% GRN 3% ± 3% 2.2% 3.3%

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338Canada Moose Jaw Wakamow projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Moose Jaw Wakamow 47% 67% 57% ± 10% SKP 30% 50% 40% ± 10% NDP 0% 7% 3% ± 3% GRN SKP 2024 55.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Moose Jaw Wakamow 98%▲ SKP 2%▼ NDP <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Moose Jaw Wakamow

SKP 57% ± 10% NDP 40% ± 10% GRN 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Moose Jaw Wakamow 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP GRN December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 NDP 47% SKP 42% GRN 2% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 47% SKP 42% GRN 2% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 NDP 45% SKP 45% GRN 2% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 NDP 45% SKP 45% GRN 2% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 NDP 50% SKP 49% GRN 2% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 49% NDP 49% GRN 2% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP 52% SKP 47% GRN 2% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 55% SKP 44% GRN 2% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 56% SKP 43% GRN 2% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP 55% NDP 41% GRN 3% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP 55% NDP 42% GRN 3% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 SKP 56% NDP 41% GRN 3% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 SKP 55% NDP 41% GRN 3% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 SKP 57% NDP 40% GRN 3% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Moose Jaw Wakamow

SKP 98% NDP 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 NDP 74% SKP 26% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 NDP 75% SKP 25% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 NDP 53% SKP 47% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 NDP 53% SKP 47% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 NDP 54% SKP 46% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 53% NDP 47% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 NDP 74% SKP 26% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 NDP 89% SKP 11% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 93% SKP 7% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 SKP 95% NDP 5% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 SKP 98% NDP 2% 2025-12-20