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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Moose Jaw North


2020 2024 Projection SKP 61% ± 10% 63.9% 59.3% NDP 37% ± 9% 33.8% 38.8% GRN 2% ± 2% 2.2% 1.9%

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338Canada Moose Jaw North projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Moose Jaw North 52% 71% 61% ± 10% SKP 28% 46% 37% ± 9% NDP SKP 2024 59.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Moose Jaw North >99%▲ SKP <1%▼ NDP <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Moose Jaw North

SKP 61% ± 10% NDP 37% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Moose Jaw North 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 51% NDP 40% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 51% NDP 41% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 54% NDP 39% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 54% NDP 39% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 57% NDP 41% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 58% NDP 41% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 55% NDP 43% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP 50% NDP 49% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 50% SKP 48% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP 60% NDP 38% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP 59% NDP 39% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 SKP 60% NDP 38% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 SKP 60% NDP 38% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 SKP 61% NDP 37% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Moose Jaw North

SKP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 92% NDP 8% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 92% NDP 8% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 98% NDP 2% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 98% NDP 2% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 98% NDP 2% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 99% NDP 1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 92% NDP 8% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP 55% NDP 45% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 NDP 61% SKP 39% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 SKP 99% NDP 1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-12-20