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Saskatchewan

Martensville-Blairmore


MLA: Jamie Martens (SKP)
Latest projection: November 12, 2024
SKP safe
Martensville-Blairmore 60% ± 0%▼ SKP 38% ± 0%▲ NDP SKP 2024 59.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Martensville-Blairmore >99% SKP <1% NDP <1% GRN Odds of winning | November 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Martensville-Blairmore

SKP 60% ± 0% NDP 38% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Martensville-Blairmore 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins SKP NDP November 12, 2024 2024-09-24 SKP 58% NDP 31% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 64% NDP 34% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 65% NDP 33% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 59% NDP 39% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP 56% NDP 42% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 SKP 50% NDP 48% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP 61% NDP 37% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP 60% NDP 38% 2024-11-12

Odds of winning | Martensville-Blairmore

SKP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 2024-11-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins SKP NDP November 12, 2024 2024-09-24 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 99% NDP 1% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP 95% NDP 5% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 SKP 60% NDP 40% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-11-12

Recent electoral history | Martensville-Blairmore



2020 2024 Proj. SKP 60% ± 0% 66.8% 59.9% NDP 38% ± 0% 24.8% 38.0% GRN 2% ± 0% 2.2% 2.1%
Data from 2020 are results transposed onto new electoral map.