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Saskatchewan


Martensville-Blairmore


MLA: (New boundaries) (SKP)


Latest projection: September 24, 2024

SKP safe
Martensville-Blairmore 58% ± 9%▲ SKP 31% ± 8%▼ NDP 4% ± 3% BUF SKP 2020 66.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Martensville-Blairmore >99% SKP <1% NDP <1% BUF Odds of winning | September 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Martensville-Blairmore

SKP 58% ± 9% NDP 31% ± 8% BUF 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Martensville-Blairmore 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP BUF September 24, 2024 2023-12-31 SKP 61% NDP 27% BUF 6% 2023-12-31 2024-02-09 SKP 53% NDP 37% BUF 4% 2024-02-09 2024-03-16 SKP 55% NDP 32% BUF 5% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 55% NDP 32% BUF 4% 2024-08-22 2024-09-24 SKP 58% NDP 31% BUF 4% 2024-09-24

Odds of winning | Martensville-Blairmore

SPP <1% SKP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2024 SPP SKP NDP September 24, 2024 2023-12-31 SKP >99% NDP <1% SPP <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-09 SKP 98% NDP 2% SPP <1% 2024-02-09 2024-03-16 SKP >99% NDP <1% SPP <1% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP >99% NDP <1% SPP <1% 2024-08-22 2024-09-24 SKP >99% NDP <1% SPP <1% 2024-09-24

Recent electoral history | Martensville-Blairmore



2020 Proj. SKP 66.8% 58% ± 9% NDP 24.8% 31% ± 8% BUF 5.6% 4% ± 3% GRN 2.2% 2% ± 2% PC 0.0% 0% ± 1% SPP 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.