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Saskatchewan


Kelvington-Wadena


MLA: (New boundaries) (SKP)


Latest projection: March 16, 2024

SKP safe
Kelvington-Wadena 57% ± 9%▲ SKP 28% ± 7%▼ NDP 4% ± 3% BUF 3% ± 3% PC SKP 2020 70.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 16, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Kelvington-Wadena >99% SKP <1% NDP <1% BUF Odds of winning | March 16, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kelvington-Wadena

SKP 57% ± 9% NDP 28% ± 7% BUF 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Kelvington-Wadena 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP BUF

Odds of winning | Kelvington-Wadena

SPP <1% SKP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 SPP SKP NDP

Recent electoral history | Kelvington-Wadena



2020 Proj. SKP 70.7% 57% ± 9% NDP 17.9% 28% ± 7% BUF 5.3% 4% ± 3% GRN 2.4% 2% ± 2% PC 0.0% 3% ± 3% SPP 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.