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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Estevan-Big Muddy


2020 2024 Projection SKP 72% ± 9% 64.8% 70.0% NDP 12% ± 5% 6.9% 12.9% BUF 9% ± 6% 22.2% 10.0% SUP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 6.0%

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338Canada Estevan-Big Muddy projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Estevan-Big Muddy 62% 81% 72% ± 9% SKP 7% 18% 12% ± 5% NDP 3% 16% 9% ± 6% BUF SKP 2024 70.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Estevan-Big Muddy >99% SKP <1% NDP <1% BUF Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Saskatchewan Projection | Estevan-Big Muddy

Odds of winning | Estevan-Big Muddy