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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Estevan-Big Muddy


2020 2024 Projection SKP 70% ± 9% 64.8% 70.0% NDP 14% ± 6% 6.9% 12.9% BUF 10% ± 6% 22.2% 10.0% SUP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 6.0%

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338Canada Estevan-Big Muddy projection

Latest update: October 27, 2026

Estevan-Big Muddy 60% 79% 70% ± 9% ▼ SKP 8% 19% 14% ± 6% ▲ NDP 3% 16% 10% ± 6% ▲ BUF SKP 2024 70.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 27, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Estevan-Big Muddy >99% SKP <1% NDP <1% BUF Odds of winning | October 27, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Saskatchewan Projection | Estevan-Big Muddy

Odds of winning | Estevan-Big Muddy