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Saskatchewan

Recent electoral history | Dakota-Arm River


2020 2024 Projection SKP 59% ± 9% 76.8% 57.5% NDP 23% ± 7% 16.7% 24.2% PC 5% ± 5% 0.0% 5.1% GRN 1% ± 1% 2.3% 1.1% SUP 0% ± 0% 0.0% 12.3%

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338Canada Dakota-Arm River projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Dakota-Arm River 50% 69% 59% ± 9% SKP 16% 30% 23% ± 7% NDP 0% 9% 5% ± 5% PC SKP 2024 57.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dakota-Arm River >99% SKP <1% NDP <1% PC Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Dakota-Arm River

SKP 59% ± 9% NDP 23% ± 7% PC 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Dakota-Arm River 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP PC December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP 58% NDP 25% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP 58% NDP 25% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP 61% NDP 24% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP 61% NDP 24% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP 61% NDP 24% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP 62% NDP 24% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP 60% NDP 26% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP 57% NDP 28% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 SKP 56% NDP 29% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP 58% NDP 23% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP 57% NDP 24% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 SKP 58% NDP 24% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 SKP 58% NDP 24% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 SKP 59% NDP 23% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Dakota-Arm River

SKP >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-04-01 2026-07-01 Election 2024 SKP NDP December 20, 2025 2024-03-16 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-03-16 2024-08-22 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-08-22 2024-09-23 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-24 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-09-24 2024-10-14 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-16 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-25 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-25 2024-10-26 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-26 2024-10-28 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-28 2024-10-29 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-10-29 2024-11-12 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2025-09-13 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-25 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 SKP >99% NDP <1% 2025-12-20