British Columbia | 338Canada

Popular vote projection | British Columbia

Seat projection | British Columbia

List of electoral districts

338Canada federal projection | British Columbia, 43 districts

Latest update: April 28, 2024

This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Projected ahead

Last election (2021)

Latest update: April 28, 2024

Electoral district	Transposed 2021 winner	Latest projection
59001 Abbotsford—South Langley		CPC safe hold
59002 Burnaby Central		CPC leaning gain
59003 Burnaby North—Seymour		CPC safe gain
59004 Cariboo—Prince George		CPC safe hold
59005 Chilliwack—Hope		CPC safe hold
59006 Cloverdale—Langley City		CPC safe gain
59007 Columbia—Kootenay—Southern Rockies		CPC safe hold
59008 Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam		CPC safe gain
59009 Courtenay—Alberni		CPC likely gain
59010 Cowichan—Malahat—Langford		CPC likely gain
59011 Delta		CPC safe gain
59012 Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke		Toss up CPC/NDP
59013 Fleetwood—Port Kells		CPC likely gain
59014 Kamloops—Shuswap—Central Rockies		CPC safe hold
59015 Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola		CPC safe hold
59016 Kelowna		CPC safe hold
59017 Langley Township—Fraser Heights		CPC safe hold
59018 Mission—Matsqui—Abbotsford		CPC safe hold
59019 Nanaimo—Ladysmith		CPC likely gain
59020 New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville		NDP leaning hold
59021 North Island—Powell River		CPC safe gain
59022 North Vancouver—Capilano		CPC safe gain
59023 Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna		CPC safe hold
59024 Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge		CPC safe hold
59025 Port Moody—Coquitlam		CPC safe gain
59026 Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies		CPC safe hold
59027 Richmond Centre—Marpole		CPC safe gain
59028 Richmond East—Steveston		CPC safe gain
59029 Saanich—Gulf Islands		GPC likely hold
59030 Similkameen—South Okanagan—West Kootenay		CPC safe gain
59031 Skeena—Bulkley Valley		CPC safe gain
59032 South Surrey—White Rock		CPC safe hold
59033 Surrey Centre		Toss up LPC/CPC
59034 Surrey Newton		LPC likely hold
59035 Vancouver Centre		CPC likely gain
59036 Vancouver East		NDP safe hold
59037 Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby		CPC leaning gain
59038 Vancouver Granville		CPC likely gain
59039 Vancouver Kingsway		NDP safe hold
59040 Vancouver Quadra		CPC safe gain
59041 Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee		CPC safe hold
59042 Victoria		NDP likely hold
59043 West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country		CPC safe gain