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Alberta

Southern Alberta, 12 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2023)
8 1 0 0 9 10
0 1 1 1 3 2
Projected ahead Last election (2023)
9 10
3 2




Projection | the Southern Alberta


Latest update: January 20, 2024
Southern Alberta 59% ± 5% 37% ± 4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Southern Alberta, 12 districts 9▼ [9-10] 3▲ [2-3] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | January 20, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Southern Alberta

UCP 59% ± 5% NDP 37% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Southern Alberta 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Seat projection | Southern Alberta

UCP 9 [9-10] NDP 3 [2-3] Seat projection | Southern Alberta 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: January 20, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
047 Airdrie-Cochrane Safe UCP
048 Airdrie East Safe UCP
050 Banff-Kananaskis Leaning NDP
052 Brooks-Medicine Hat Safe UCP
054 Cardston-Siksika Safe UCP
056 Chestermere-Strathmore Safe UCP
057 Cypress-Medicine Hat Likely UCP
065 Highwood Safe UCP
071 Lethbridge-East Toss up UCP/NDP
072 Lethbridge-West Likely NDP
073 Livingston-Macleod Safe UCP
085 Taber-Warner Safe UCP
Electoral district
047 Airdrie-Cochrane
048 Airdrie East
050 Banff-Kananaskis
052 Brooks-Medicine Hat
054 Cardston-Siksika
056 Chestermere-Strathmore
057 Cypress-Medicine Hat
065 Highwood
071 Lethbridge-East
072 Lethbridge-West
073 Livingston-Macleod
085 Taber-Warner