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Alberta

Calgary, 26 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2023)
1 6 7 2 16 11
2 4 1 3 10 15
Projected ahead Last election (2023)
16 11
10 15




Projection | Calgary


Latest update: January 20, 2024
Calgary 49% ± 5% 47% ± 5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Calgary, 26 districts 16▲ [12-19] 10▼ [7-14] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | January 20, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Calgary

UCP 49% ± 5% NDP 47% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Calgary 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Seat projection | Calgary

UCP 16 [12-19] NDP 10 [7-14] Seat projection | Calgary 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: January 20, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
001 Calgary-Acadia Leaning UCP gain
002 Calgary-Beddington Toss up UCP/NDP
003 Calgary-Bow Leaning UCP
004 Calgary-Buffalo Safe NDP
005 Calgary-Cross Leaning UCP
006 Calgary-Currie Likely NDP
007 Calgary-East Leaning UCP
008 Calgary-Edgemont Toss up UCP/NDP
009 Calgary-Elbow Toss up UCP/NDP
010 Calgary-Falconridge Likely NDP
011 Calgary-Fish Creek Likely UCP
012 Calgary-Foothills Toss up UCP/NDP
013 Calgary-Glenmore Leaning UCP gain
014 Calgary-Hays Likely UCP
015 Calgary-Klein Toss up UCP/NDP
016 Calgary-Lougheed Likely UCP
017 Calgary-Bhullar-McCall Likely NDP
018 Calgary-Mountain View Safe NDP
019 Calgary-North Leaning UCP
020 Calgary-North East Leaning NDP
021 Calgary-North West Leaning UCP
022 Calgary-Peigan Likely UCP
023 Calgary-Shaw Likely UCP
024 Calgary-South East Safe UCP
025 Calgary-Varsity Likely NDP
026 Calgary-West Likely UCP
Electoral district
001 Calgary-Acadia
002 Calgary-Beddington
003 Calgary-Bow
004 Calgary-Buffalo
005 Calgary-Cross
006 Calgary-Currie
007 Calgary-East
008 Calgary-Edgemont
009 Calgary-Elbow
010 Calgary-Falconridge
011 Calgary-Fish Creek
012 Calgary-Foothills
013 Calgary-Glenmore
014 Calgary-Hays
015 Calgary-Klein
016 Calgary-Lougheed
017 Calgary-Bhullar-McCall
018 Calgary-Mountain View
019 Calgary-North
020 Calgary-North East
021 Calgary-North West
022 Calgary-Peigan
023 Calgary-Shaw
024 Calgary-South East
025 Calgary-Varsity
026 Calgary-West