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Alberta

Central Alberta, 14 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2023)
9 4 1 0 14 14
0 0 0 0 0 0
Projected ahead Last election (2023)
14 14
0 0




Projection | the Central Alberta


Latest update: January 20, 2024
Central Alberta 64% ± 4% 31% ± 4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Central Alberta, 14 districts 14 [13-14] 0 [0-1] 0 [0-0] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | January 20, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Central Alberta

UCP 64% ± 4% NDP 31% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Central Alberta 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

Seat projection | Central Alberta

UCP 14 [13-14] NDP 0 [0-1] Seat projection | Central Alberta 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 Election 2023 UCP NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: January 20, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
053 Camrose Safe UCP
058 Drayton Valley-Devon Safe UCP
059 Drumheller-Stettler Safe UCP
066 Innisfail-Sylvan Lake Safe UCP
068 Lacombe-Ponoka Safe UCP
069 Leduc-Beaumont Likely UCP
074 Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin Safe UCP
076 Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills Safe UCP
078 Red Deer-North Likely UCP
079 Red Deer-South Leaning UCP
080 Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre Safe UCP
082 Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Likely UCP
084 Strathcona-Sherwood Park Likely UCP
086 Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright Safe UCP
Electoral district
053 Camrose
058 Drayton Valley-Devon
059 Drumheller-Stettler
066 Innisfail-Sylvan Lake
068 Lacombe-Ponoka
069 Leduc-Beaumont
074 Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin
076 Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills
078 Red Deer-North
079 Red Deer-South
080 Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre
082 Spruce Grove-Stony Plain
084 Strathcona-Sherwood Park
086 Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright