Avalon, 11 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2021) | |
1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | |
2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2021) | |
7 | 6 | |
3 | 4 | |
1 | 1 | |
0 | 0 |
Projection | the Avalon
Latest update: April 15, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Avalon
Seat projection | Avalon
List of electoral districts
Latest update: April 15, 2024
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
005 Cape St. Francis | PC safe | |
006 Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde | LIB safe | |
008 Conception Bay East-Bell Island | LIB leaning | |
009 Conception Bay South | PC likely | |
012 Ferryland | PC likely | |
017 Harbour Grace-Port de Grave | LIB safe | |
018 Harbour Main | PC likely | |
024 Mount Pearl North | PC leaning | |
025 Mount Pearl-Southlands | IND likely | |
028 Placentia-St. Mary’s | Toss up | |
036 Topsail-Paradise | PC likely |