Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley, 16 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12.0 | |
0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | |
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
Projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley
Latest update: March 26, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley
Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley
List of electoral districts
Latest update: March 26, 2024
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
001 Abbotsford South | Toss up | |
002 Abbotsford West | BCC leaning | |
003 Abbotsford-Mission | Toss up | |
012 Chilliwack North | Toss up | |
013 Chilliwack-Cultus Lake | NDP likely | |
015 Coquitlam-Burke Mountain | NDP safe | |
016 Coquitlam-Maillardville | NDP safe | |
034 Langley-Abbotsford | Toss up | |
035 Langley-Walnut Grove | Toss up | |
036 Langley-Willowbrook | Toss up | |
037 Maple Ridge East | NDP safe | |
038 Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows | NDP safe | |
043 New Westminster-Coquitlam | NDP safe | |
046 North Vancouver-Lonsdale | NDP safe | |
047 North Vancouver-Seymour | NDP safe | |
093 West Vancouver-Sea to Sky | GRN leaning |