Central Newfoundland, 18 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2021) | |
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | |
1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2021) | |
10 | 11 | |
7 | 6 | |
1 | 1 | |
0 | 0 |
Projection | the Central Newfoundland
Latest update: April 15, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Central Newfoundland
Seat projection | Central Newfoundland
List of electoral districts
Latest update: April 15, 2024
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
001 Baie Verte-Green Bay | Toss up | |
002 Bonavista | PC safe | |
003 Burgeo-La Poile | LIB safe | |
004 Burin-Grand Bank | LIB likely | |
010 Corner Brook | LIB likely | |
011 Exploits | PC leaning | |
013 Fogo Island-Cape Freels | PC leaning | |
014 Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune | LIB likely | |
015 Gander | LIB safe | |
016 Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans | PC likely | |
019 Humber-Bay of Islands | IND safe | |
020 Humber-Gros Morne | LIB likely | |
023 Lewisporte-Twillingate | LIB likely | |
027 Placentia West-Bellevue | PC likely | |
029 St. Barbe-L’Anse aux Meadows | Toss up | |
030 St. George’s-Humber | LIB likely | |
034 Stephenville-Port au Port | PC likely | |
035 Terra Nova | PC likely |