338Canada.com - USA - Poll Analysis and Electoral Projections


Welcome to 338Canada - USA!


The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of P.J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.

P.J. Fournier is a political contributor for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and he is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800.

You can visit the complete interactive map of the latest electoral projections here.

You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow P.J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!







338Canada 2020 U.S. Presidential Election Projection


Breakdown by state


Latest update: May 22, 2020

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Hover or click on a state
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,"18":{"n":"18","q":6,"r":1,"c":18,"circ":"Louisiane","ctf":"REP solide","cte":"REP safe","col":"#b20000","popf":"https://Qc125.com/usa/LA.htm","pope":"https://338Canada.com/usa/LA.htm","EV":"8","abb":"LA"} ,"19":{"n":"19","q":12,"r":7,"c":19,"circ":"Maine","ctf":"DEM probable","cte":"DEM likely","col":"#0000c6","popf":"https://Qc125.com/usa/ME.htm","pope":"https://338Canada.com/usa/ME.htm","EV":"4*","abb":"ME"} ,"20":{"n":"20","q":10,"r":4,"c":20,"circ":"Maryland","ctf":"DEM solide","cte":"DEM safe","col":"#0000c6","popf":"https://Qc125.com/usa/MD.htm","pope":"https://338Canada.com/usa/MD.htm","EV":"10","abb":"MD"} ,"21":{"n":"21","q":11,"r":5,"c":21,"circ":"Massachusetts","ctf":"DEM solide","cte":"DEM safe","col":"#0000c6","popf":"https://Qc125.com/usa/MA.htm","pope":"https://338Canada.com/usa/MA.htm","EV":"11","abb":"MA"} ,"22":{"n":"22","q":8,"r":5,"c":22,"circ":"Michigan","ctf":"DEM enclin","cte":"DEM 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,"36":{"n":"36","q":5,"r":1,"c":36,"circ":"Oklahoma","ctf":"REP solide","cte":"REP safe","col":"#b20000","popf":"https://Qc125.com/usa/OK.htm","pope":"https://338Canada.com/usa/OK.htm","EV":"7","abb":"OK"} ,"37":{"n":"37","q":2,"r":4,"c":37,"circ":"Oregon","ctf":"DEM probable","cte":"DEM likely","col":"#0000c6","popf":"https://Qc125.com/usa/OR.htm","pope":"https://338Canada.com/usa/OR.htm","EV":"7","abb":"OR"} ,"38":{"n":"38","q":9,"r":4,"c":38,"circ":"Pennsylvanie","ctf":"DEM enclin","cte":"DEM leaning","col":"#0000c6","popf":"https://Qc125.com/usa/PA.htm","pope":"https://338Canada.com/usa/PA.htm","EV":"20","abb":"PA"} ,"39":{"n":"39","q":12,"r":4,"c":39,"circ":"Rhode Island","ctf":"DEM solide","cte":"DEM safe","col":"#0000c6","popf":"https://Qc125.com/usa/RI.htm","pope":"https://338Canada.com/usa/RI.htm","EV":"4","abb":"RI"} ,"40":{"n":"40","q":9,"r":2,"c":40,"circ":"Caroline du Sud","ctf":"REP probable","cte":"REP 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Dem safe: 175 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem likely: 25 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem leaning: 79 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Toss up: 95 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep leaning: 38 Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep likely: 42 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep safe: 84 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.



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Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.




Odds of winning the Electoral College


Latest update: May 22, 2020





Complete U.S. Map Projection


Latest update: May 22, 2020





Electoral College Projection


Latest update: May 22, 2020






Popular Vote Projection


Latest update: May 22, 2020